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 Predictions?

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karelgol
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karelgol


Call Sign : 19-CT-024
Posts : 87
Times Thanked : 0
Join date : 2020-05-21
QTH or Location : Steenwijk, JO32bs
Equipment Used : Magnum 257HP,President Lincoln I, President Bill Asc, AMP-150, Imax-2000, Emperor LA-50
Age : 63

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PostSubject: Predictions?   Predictions? Icon_minitimeSat Jun 13, 2020 10:32 am

I'm following the propagation predictions in the last few months, using this site, especially the band condition part(as the rest is much to complicated for me)

http://www.hamqsl.com/solar.html

and i read here reports about "great conditions" (end may) while i haven't seen the prediction for the 10-12m band changing from poor to anything better.

Am i looking at this prediction the wrong way?
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BigTone
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Call Sign : G8YMW or 26CT4498
Posts : 83
Times Thanked : 17
Join date : 2019-07-16
QTH or Location : Lincoln and Finningley
Equipment Used : CRT 9900, Icom 705, Kenwood TS570, Icom 910
Age : 66

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PostSubject: Re: Predictions?   Predictions? Icon_minitimeSat Jun 13, 2020 10:58 pm

Depends on what you're looking at.
The problem is there is not much solar activity (apart from coronal hole activity) as we are bumping along the bottom of the 11 year solar cycle.
At the moment we are in the middle of the sporadic E season which is NOT solar and, as the name suggests, can take you by surprise.
For me the websites that are useful are:
spaceweather.com
dxmaps.com
blitzortung.org (there is some correlation between sporadic E and heavy thunderstorms)
Of course, you cannot beat keeping your ears peeled.
27.555
28.074 (FT8 frequency) I do not have the tackle to decode it but signal levels will give you an idea that something is happening
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Bean
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Posts : 186
Times Thanked : 6
Join date : 2019-06-29

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PostSubject: Re: Predictions?   Predictions? Icon_minitimeSun Jun 14, 2020 8:32 am

Its pretty certain that we have now past Solar minimum and the ramp up for cycle 25 should start over the next two years which will see an increase in the SFI and propagation for the higher HF bands . At the moment we are in the Sporadic E season which seems to be at an all time level for multi hop or an E hop from here into a higher MUF area around the Equator and onwards to further distance. There is a pier reviewed document out there that said heavy thunder storms actually destory E propagation but as this is a minor cause of Es of which there are a few its not anything to get to hung up about . On 10m yesterday morning it was open to the East for Asatic Russia and Kazakstan and by the early afternoon USA/Canada into the evening Bermuda , Angilla and Costa Rica and open to the USA for a good 2 hours for 10m SSB.
73
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Northern Crusader
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Call Sign : M0GVZ / 26CT1760
Posts : 422
Times Thanked : 31
Join date : 2019-11-13
QTH or Location : IO94SA
Equipment Used : Icom 7300, TS480, President McKinley, Albrecht AE6110, CRT Mike
Age : 51

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PostSubject: Re: Predictions?   Predictions? Icon_minitimeSun Jun 14, 2020 7:32 pm

The period around the solstices is usually very good for DX. The band picks up well around the end of October.
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PostSubject: Re: Predictions?   Predictions? Icon_minitime

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